What Happens to $93 Billion in Ad Spend When Search Fades? Insights from Neil Kettleborough, a board member at Trader AI

Thu Aug 07 2025

What Happens to $93 Billion in Ad Spend When Search Fades?    Insights from Neil Kettleborough, a board member at Trader AI

Google Search has long held the top position in the U.S. digital advertising market, leading in two key reporting categories: Monthly Active Users (MAUs) and Average Revenue Per User (ARPPU). It generated $93 billion in ad revenue in 2024 based on a simple presumption: users will continue to show up with questions and intent, ready to click, compare, and convert. 

 

So, what happens when they don't? 

 

As generative AI platforms like ChatGPT rapidly integrate into consumer behavior, they increasingly influence consumer behavior, as users opt to engage in direct, contextual conversations with the AI and bypass traditional search engines altogether. 

The result? Fewer search queries, fewer ad impressions, and an emerging drag on the advertising ecosystem. 

 

A Turning Point in the Search Economy 

 

Neil Kettleborough, Board Member at Trader AI, calls this new behavior of zero-click, AI-led search one of the most significant inflection points of digital marketing today.

 

Google’s model of a query-dominated intent base is genuinely being challenged in real-time as consumers drift toward zero-click, AI-led answers.

 

A recent data visualization of the U.S. ad economy (MAUs × ARPU) still depicts Google's sizeable lead.

 

However, there is no denying that lead is not safe anymore. If the use case continues to separate from legacy ads, and companies like ChatGPT continue to be non-ad supported, ad dollars will have to find new measurable paths on this new ad journey.  

 

Where Could the Dollars Go? Neil Kettleborough Weighs In 

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In analyzing the implications, Neil Kettleborough outlines several plausible scenarios for how this $93 billion might be reallocated:

 

  • YouTube as Google’s Strategic Pivot: Google may lean more heavily on YouTube, where high user engagement and video-driven content offer stronger monetization opportunities and a potentially higher ARPU. 

  • Meta and Amazon as Performance Hubs: With robust data ecosystems, proven e-commerce infrastructure, and strong ROI metrics, Meta and Amazon are well-positioned to absorb a large share of performance-focused budgets. 

  • The Shrinking of the Pie: If consumers aren’t searching, brands—particularly small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs)—may respond by cutting digital budgets altogether, reducing their overall ad spend due to diminished returns. 

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Neil Kettleborough stresses that this is not merely a game of budget reallocation—it's a complete rethinking of how brands capture consumer attention. In a world where intent doesn't begin with a typed query, advertising must evolve beyond the classic funnel. 

This means moving toward:

 

  • AI-integrated media strategies that embed content and commerce within conversational experiences. 

  • Predictive and proactive outreach, where machine learning anticipates consumer needs before they are even expressed. 

  • Omni-channel adaptability, ensuring visibility across not just search and social but also voice, video, and AI-led interfaces. 

 

Conclusion: The Post-Search Era Has Arrived 

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The digital advertising ecosystem is at an inflection point. Traditional search's dominance will soon come under fire from a new approach - intent without input, discovery without queries, and conversation without clicks. 

 

For marketers, there are risks and rare opportunities. Those who will wait will be forced to react under pressure. But those who experiment early on a three-pronged approach—by leaning into programmatic innovation, multiple channel strategies, and aligning with AI-native platforms—can carve out a valuable competitive position.

 

🚀 Are you ready for the post-search era? 

  Join Neil Kettleborough and the Trader AI team as they explore what’s next in programmatic, predictive, and AI-driven marketing. 

  🔍 Visit Trader AI to stay ahead of the curve and rethink your strategy for the future of attention.